Thursday, October 28

Asian stocks extend global slide as inflation fears bite


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TOKYO — Asian equities followed Wall Street sharply lower and bonds rallied on Friday, as risk sentiment soured amid growing worries that inflation may persist even after global growth has peaked.

Japan’s Nikkei tumbled 2.52% to the lowest level since Sept. 3, while Australian stocks slumped 2.02%, South Korea’s Kospi lost 1.50%, and Taiwan’s benchmark dropped 2.18%.

An MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks slid 1.33% to its lowest since Aug. 24.

Chinese markets are closed for a week from Friday for the Golden Week holiday.

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“You can argue whether it’s really stagflation or not, but the whole growth-inflation backdrop seems to have just tilted to a less favorable one,” said Rob Carnell, Asia-Pacific head of research at ING in Singapore.

“Whether or not this is actually going to get imbedded and create problems for years to come, we don’t need to know right now – it’s sufficiently scary that what we’re seeing in markets is justified.”

US stock futures pointed to a 0.60% decline for the S&P 500, following a 1.19% drop in the index overnight that punctuated its worst month since March of last year.

Nasdaq futures also signaled a 0.61% retreat, adding to Thursday’s 0.43% loss.

MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe shed 0.27% on Friday to touch the lowest since July 20.

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Meanwhile, the benchmark 10-year Treasury note continued to rally in Tokyo trading, with the yield sliding to the lowest since Sept. 28 at 1.4754%. It was at a more than four-month peak of 1.567% just three days earlier.

The dollar index, which measures the currency against six major rivals, was off Thursday’s one-year high of 94.504, last changing hands at 94.286.

The safe-haven yen bounced off its lowest since February of last year at 112.08 per greenback on Thursday to last trade at 111.21.

The risk-sensitive Australian dollar slipped 0.26% to $0.72075, edging back toward a one-month low of $0.71705 reached mid-week.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said on Wednesday that resolving “tension” between high inflation and high unemployment is the Fed’s most urgent issue, acknowledging a potential conflict between the US central bank’s two goals of stable prices and full employment.

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A Federal Open Market Committee meeting last week reinforced expectations for asset purchase tapering to start in November, with rate hikes following as soon as next year.

The latest clues on the Fed’s policy normalization path come with US personal spending and core consumption deflator data later in the day.

“Rising employment costs and high inflation expectations suggests a sharp fall in inflation in line with the FOMC’s transitory narrative is increasingly unlikely,” strategists at Commonwealth Bank of Australia wrote in a client note.

China has proved another particular worry for investors: the economy took a hit from regulatory curbs in the tech and property sectors, and is now grappling with a power shortage that threatens to push up energy prices globally.

However, crude prices continued to ease on Friday after Brent topped $80 a barrel earlier in the week for the first time in three years.

Brent crude futures slipped 0.22% from Thursday to $78.14, while US crude futures fell 0.25% to $74.83.

Gold, an inflation hedge and safe haven, edged back 0.3% to $1,751.43 an ounce, following Thursday’s 1.77% surge, the biggest since March.

(Reporting by Kevin Buckland; Editing by Lincoln Feast.)

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In-depth reporting on the innovation economy from The Logic, brought to you in partnership with the Financial Post.

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