The market analyst Salvador Di Stéfano, explained in dialogue with this medium that the recent rise in blue is largely explained by “the great liquidity due to Christmas sales, because there is no merchandise to replace and because entrepreneurs seek to protect themselves from future price increases”, increasing demand of the US currency.
It should be noted that in the last hours the Government confirmed that in 2022 there will be an increase of around 20% in gas and electricity rates, although if a segmentation plan is implemented there may be households in high-income neighborhoods that will stop receiving subsidies and start paying 100% of the value of the energy.
“It was sung that rates would rise. Soon rates will rise and the dollar and then the agreement with the IMF will come. The market anticipated all this, “said Di Stéfano.
In the accumulated of 2021, the parallel dollar had a rise of 25.3% ($ 42), almost half with respect to the inflation of the period.
After touching a floor of $ 139 in April, the price of the blue began to show an upward trend, although with oscillations. The largest increases for the year were verified in July (+ $ 12.50 or 7.4%) and June (+ $ 11 or 7%). Likewise, the highest gap in 2021 with respect to the official one was noted on October 11, when it reached 106.1%.
Looking ahead to 2022, other specialists also warn that its performance will depend on several factors, including negotiations with the IMF and the strategy regarding the management of the official exchange rate.
Walter Morales, president of Wise, told this medium that if the Government reaches a point in common with the institution led by Kristalina Georgieva, the blue dollar will peak next year between $ 245 and $ 255.
The saving dollar or solidarity dollar -which includes 30% of the COUNTRY tax, and a 35% on account of the Income Tax- it amounted to 22 cents to $ 178.68. It was about $ 29 below the blue.