Friday, September 30

Center-left bloc leads Sweden’s election count

Social Democrat Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson’s centre-left bloc leads Sunday’s Swedish general election count with 50% to the opposition’s 48.2%, around a quarter of 6,578 constituencies counted.

If this result is confirmed, the center-left would obtain 177 deputies for 172 from the right.

The Social Democratic Party, the force that has dominated Swedish politics in the last century, would repeat victory with 30.1%, almost two points more than in 2018; ahead of the far-right Sweden Democrats (SD), with 20.8%, three points more, which would become the leading opposition force.

The Moderate Party (conservative) would drop to third place with 17.7%, two points less, which would leave the hitherto leader of the opposition, Ulf Kristersson, in a very compromised situation.

The two exit polls broadcast by the private channel TV4 and the public SVT at the closing of the schools already gave the Andersson bloc as the winner -which also includes former communists, centrists and environmentalists-, with a difference that varied from six tenths to 2.6 points.

The polls in the previous days pointed to a great equality between the two blocs, although with a slight advantage for the center-left, indicating that the electoral drama of 2018 could be repeated.

The difference then was a single seat in favor of the government bloc and a week had to wait for a final result, a harbinger of arduous negotiations to form a government, which lasted 134 days, a record in Swedish history.

The “sanitary cordon” that the rest of the parties have made to the far-right SD since its arrival in Parliament in 2010 is what explains why the Social Democrats have been able to govern the last two legislatures despite the fact that there was a center-right majority in the Chamber.

In the last one, a pact between the Social Democrats and their environmental allies with centrists and liberals was necessary, breaking the center-right alliance that existed since 2004, to maintain the isolation of the SD, which has been cracking.

Conservatives, Christian Democrats and liberals, who have changed sides again, are now agreeing to agree with the extreme right, although they maintain their refusal to form part of a hypothetical government, a rejection that could be difficult for the SD to keep from unseating the conservatives from second place.

The election campaign has been dominated by issues such as rising crime, immigration and the energy crisis.

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