Monday, December 4

Copper slides after Fed’s growth warning triggers sell-off

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LONDON — Copper prices fell to their lowest in more than two weeks on Monday after US central bank chief Jerome Powell warned of a painful period of slow economic growth and fresh COVID restrictions in top consumer China hit sentiment.

Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange was down 3.7% at $7,861 a tonne at 1041 GMT having earlier hit $7,846, the lowest since Aug. 8.

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The Federal Reserve is expected to raise rates by 75 basis points for the third consecutive policy meeting in September to combat inflation. Powell also said the Fed will not quickly dial back on monetary policy until inflation is under control.

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“Copper prices have been hit recently with concerns over a ‘hard landing’ after Powell’s Speech last Friday,” said Giles Coghlan, analyst at broker HYCM.

“This week US labor data will be in key focus and I expect base metals to take their next cue from there.”

Powell’s warning on interest rates has also pushed the dollar to 20-year highs against other major currencies, making dollar-priced commodities more expensive for holders of other currencies, which would subdue demand.

Concern about China’s demand was reinforced after Shenzhen shut the world’s largest electronics market of Huaqiangbei and suspended service at subway stations in a bid to curb a COVID outbreak.

Industrial metals markets will take their cue from a survey of purchasing managers in China’s manufacturing sector, due on Wednesday. Expectations are for further shrinkage.

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On the plus side, China has announced billions of yuan worth of stimulus support for various sectors, including infrastructure and electric vehicles.

“There is a view that Chinese stimulus will help,” said Bank of America analyst Michael Widmer. “But there is also apprehension about demand, particularly outside China.”

For aluminum, the resumption of power in the Sichuan province, which will increase supplies in China is a negative, but analysts say power problems in Europe will provide support for prices.

Aluminum was down 4.1% at $2,391, zinc fell 1.8% to $3,500, lead gained 0.2% to $1,989, tin ceded 1.8% to $24,305 and nickel slipped 0.5% to $21,520 a tonne.

(Reporting by Pratima Desai; editing by Kirsten Donovan)