Monday, May 16

Fourth COVID wave: When will Mexico reach the peak and the end, according to specialists?

Different experts have shared some data regarding the development of the omicron variant in the world, as well as the relationship between fourth wave of COVID in Mexico with respect to the previous to try to respond to uncertainties regarding the future of the pandemic in the country.

From specialist doctors to the former Secretary of Finance and Public Credit in Mexico, Arturo Herrera Gutiérrez, have shared different data and some predictions regarding the wave of infections that the country is currently experiencing, where the highest numbers of daily infections have been recorded compared to previous stages.


Here are the opinions of these experts:

Alexander Macias

The medical doctor, former “tsar” of the 2009 pandemic in Mexico, argues that, according to the behavior that the omicron variant has had in the world, the new waves of COVID-19 infections have an increase for one month and a decrease for the other.

According to a publication through his Twitter account “In Mexico, January will be promotion; february, descent; march plateau. The second quarter of 2022 we would enter endemic”.

Laurie Ann Ximenez-Fyvie

The doctor in Medical Sciences and professor and researcher of Microbiology recently compared the numbers of the previous waves of COVID-19 in Mexico, in order to provide information on the fourth wave behavior.

He stated that the fourth wave is barely on the rise and “the acceleration of infections seems to be more marked.” He stated that the previous waves lasted 30 weeks respectively, and that the wave that crosses the country is currently in its fifth week.

Information from the open database of the Ministry of Health indicates that this fourth wave adds more than 600 thousand new cases in just over a month. Dr. Laurie Ann compares it to the million and a half infections that occurred in the entire second and third waves, respectively.

“In 1/6 of the time of the previous waves, the fourth wave has already accumulated about half of the confirmed cases of waves 2 and 3, which have been the most cases so far,” says Laurie Ann Ximénez on Twitter. -Fyvie.

Regarding the number of deaths, the fourth wave has accumulated just over 4 thousand new deaths in five weeks, compared to the previous waves that registered 98,135 and 65,000 deaths, respectively.

“The fatality rates have been decreasing with each new wave (good news!), which is undoubtedly related to vaccination and a better understanding of how to treat the disease,” the specialist explained on her Twitter account.

Finally, he pointed out that since the opening of schools in the third wave, the new cases in children have had a significant increase. You can check all the data shared by Laurie Ann Ximénez-Fyvie at this link.

Francisco Moreno Sanchez

The infectologist internist, as well as the 2020 National Health Award, shared via twitter three reasons to be able to see optimistically the future of the pandemic.

“The high number of people infected at the same time in most of the world could generate high percentages of immunity in the general population,” he points out as the main reason.

It also highlights the increase in vaccinated people and the upcoming availability of oral medications to treat new infections of COVID-19.

Arturo Herrera Gutierrez

The former Secretary of Finance and Public Credit, beyond an assertion, shared a series of data obtained in the New York Times, regarding the monitoring of infections in different regions of the world.

He points out that in the areas of the world where the omicron variant arrived first, the waves of infections took three to four weeks to reach their peak, and which subsequently had a “sharp drop”.

“I hope that ómicron has a similar behavior in Mexico and that soon it begins to diminish”, Arturo Herrera wrote through his Twitter account.





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