Monday, May 23

Live: What Bay Street and beyond are saying about the federal budget


Expert analysis and opinion on what effects business, the economy and you

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Justin Trudeau’s Liberal government tabled a budget yesterday that included $452.3 billion in new spending, as well as tax hikes for Canada’s big financial institutions.

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There’s a lot to cover here and to get you started, have a look at Stephanie Hughes’ quick summary of the main points. It will literally take just a minute.

10:53 pm

Chrystia Freeland’s budget day power suit was Ukrainian blue

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland on Thursday.
Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland on Thursday. Photo by Blair Gable/Reuters

Google around, and it is hard not to notice a common thread running through Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland’s outfit choices, at least as they relate to photos that come up in an internet image search. There’s Freeland on the cover of a Toronto magazine wearing a Liberal red dress. There she is dressed in Liberal red again, with her arm thrown around the shoulder of former United States secretary of state Madeleine Albright (rest in peace). And she’s in red on a stage with Ivanka Trumpin a Liberal cabinet minister team picture and alongside former Donald Trump cabinet minister Rex Tillerson.

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Thursday was budget day in Ottawa. The cameras were sure to be out. But Freeland’s outfit — a Ukrainian-blue suit with yellow buttons on the cuffs — ditched any whiffs of domestic political partisanship, while deftly conveying a message of solidarity with the people of Ukraine. It also seemed to say that whatever rhetorical skirmishes were bound to erupt with her political opponents after she delivered a budget promising $31.2 billion in new spending over the next five years, Vladimir Putin is an enemy all parties can agree upon.

Freeland described the Russian president and his “henchmen” as “war criminals.” She referenced the atrocities in Bucha and the bravery of the Ukrainians, who are “fighting our fight,” by which she meant the fight for democracy and an international rules- based order. Among the key articles of faith: you don’t invade your neighbour in a naked assault on their sovereignty.

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The parts of Freeland’s budget speech that hit upon Ukraine got plenty of claps and, at one point, a brief standing ovation from her peers on both sides of the aisle in the House of Commons. That is a far cry from the April 2021 budget, with its $100-plus billion in spending pledges and dire Liberal warnings that the sky would fall unless it passed, which it did, most cynically, eight weeks before the prime minister called a snap fall election Canadians clearly didn’t want.

Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland gets a standing ovation while presenting the budget on Thursday.
Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland gets a standing ovation while presenting the budget on Thursday. Photo by Blair Gable/Reuters

But Thursday’s budget performance will perhaps be remembered as the moment an incumbent government finally grew up. All it took was a war, runaway inflation and a housing crisis to get there. As an author and journalist before becoming a politician, Freeland took aim at Putin . Since being elected, she has championed the passage of the Magnitsky Act in 2017, giving Canada the tools to punish human rights offenders. After Russian tanks crossed the Ukrainian frontier on Feb. 24, she reportedly sent a letter to senior US officials outlining a plan to freeze the assets of the Russian central bank.

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“Chrystia has been a hero in my eyes in standing up to Vladimir Putin,” author, activist and businessman Bill Browder, told Financial Post’s Larysa Harapyn earlier this week. “She has been clear-eyed since the very beginning of who Vladimir Putin is , and what he is capable of, and it is really important that somebody with her knowledge and her backbone has been at the centre of this discussion.”

As for the dollars and cents, the new budget calls for $500 million in weapons to be sent to Ukraine and billions more to be spent on beefing up the Canadian military. “We know that peace is guaranteed only by our willingness to fight for it, ” Freeland said.

There can be a surreal quality to federal budget days. What, exactly, does $31.2 billion in new spending, a promise to build more affordable housing ASAP, and charging stations to power an electric vehicle revolution look like to you, anyway?

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Freeland, mind you, looked dressed for the occasion, not in red, but in the colours many Canadians are bleeding today, as the drumbeat of war rolls on.

— Joe O’Connor

10:17 am

Canada’s national accounting association praised the federal government’s pledge this week to create a financial crimes agency to lead enforcement in the area of ​​money-laundering and other financial crimes that “inflict serious costs” on Canada’s economy.

“We have called for reforms to Canada’s anti-money laundering regime to assist investigations and improve the level of prosecutions of money laundering in Canada and look forward to a consultation on the agency’s intended purpose,” Chartered Professional Accountants of Canada (CPA Canada), said in a statement Friday.

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Thursday’s budget promised measures that would help “maintain the integrity of the financial system, promote fair competition, and protect both the finances of Canadians and our national security,” including the creation of the Canada Financial Crimes Agency.

— Barbara Shecter

10:07 am

Critical minerals are a key pillar of the budget. The government is proposing billions of dollars in new spending to encourage more mining of the minerals that will be crucial as the world transitions to a low-carbon economy.

These include not only the lithium, nickel and cobalt used in batteries, but a far wider array of elements, from copper to manganese, writes the Financial Post’s Gabriel Friedman.

Canada has a lot of these minerals, but not so much of the infrastructure needed to first of all get them out of ground, and then turn them into something useful.

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Take Ontario’s Ring of Fire in the James Bay Lowlands, the site of deposits of nickel, copper, and other metals, but isolated from the rest of the province because road access is limited.

The map below shows the critical mineral hot spots in Canada.

9:52 am

Chrystia Freeland’s second budget is being billed as fiscally responsible with the deficit falling to $52.8 billion this year from $113 billion last and debt to GDP ratio tracking lower to 45.1 per cent this year to 41.5 per cent by 2026/2027.

But BMO economists Robert Kavcic and Douglas Porter say the real reason Ottawa has been able to hold the line is a huge swell in revenues from the commodity boom now going on.

“Essentially, revenues have been boosted by a short-term rush of higher inflation — but that’s not a healthy development, as eventually costs will also face upward pressure, including borrowing costs,” said the economists.

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financialpost.com