French President Emmanuel Macron has slightly increased his lead in the polls for the April elections, although he has not yet publicly declared his candidacy.
Valérie Pécresse, conservative, “modern” and the favorite to face Macron
According to a joint poll published this Wednesday by several media outlets, Macron would win the first round on April 10 with an intention to vote of 26%, which is one point more than the previous similar poll published by this group on January 12. .
Second place, which entails access to the second round on April 24 along with the winner, is still very close between the conservative Valerie Pécresse (15.5%) and the far-right Marine Le Pen (15%), both with a drop of a point.
Somewhat behind is the far-right Éric Zemmour (13%), who registers an advance of half a point.
The field on the left continues with no chance of reaching the second round. The best result is for Jean-Luc Mélenchon (10%), followed by the environmentalist Yannick Jadot (4.5%) and the communist Fabien Roussel (4%). The socialist Anne Hidalgo, mayor of Paris, is unable to overcome her negative trend and falls back to 1.5%, according to this survey.
In a hypothetical second round between Macron and Le Pen, the president would win by 56-46%, a figure similar to that of January, but tighter than in 2017, when the result was 66-40% for the current tenant of the Elysee.
The result would be tighter if Macron’s rival was Pécresse, with the president winning by 54 to 46%, a figure 1.5 points lower than in January.
On the other hand, if Macron’s rival in the second round were Zemmour, the current head of state would crush him by 64 to 36%.
The survey was carried out by the firm Elabe last Monday and Tuesday with a sample of 1,488 people, of which only 53% are sure of going to vote on April 10. The margin of error is between 1.1 and 3.1%.