Miami, Fl.- Thursday’s trilateral meeting in Washington is one of the most important that has ever taken place, after the United States changed its approach to security and relegated the fight against terrorism to give primacy to the inevitable confrontation with China.
Biden needs to consolidate the North American bloc, with Canada and Mexico, not to go to war, but to make it an efficient and competitive region.
It also requires the photo of all three: United North America.
The emphasis of the trilateral summit will be on the word competitiveness.
Competitiveness to compete with China.
The ports are real bottlenecks, the supply chains do not work, and in some cases they are collapsed due to the lack of some miserable devices that are holding back automotive production.
Unlike other trilateral meetings, which have been rather symbolic, Thursday’s will be the first summit of need.
For Biden, especially. Your popularity is dropping and it makes sense that you take advantage of this forum to further project the benefits of your physical infrastructure plan.
That infrastructure plan, connected to the concept of improving competitiveness in North America.
US ports are not keeping up, slowing the entry of supplies and products, prompting Biden to open operations at some of its main marine terminals 24 hours a day, seven days a week.
The package approved a week ago in this country’s Congress includes seventeen billion dollars in port infrastructure, in addition to 25 billion dollars for airports.
Wouldn’t it be better for Mexico to build a large port in Baja California and receive the ships that spend days (that is, millions and millions of dollars in losses and delays in supplying the United States) due to the saturation of the ports of San Diego and The Angels?
I mean, instead of spending on a Mayan train, no one wants to take the risk of its operation, even if the sections are given away.
And why is the government of Mexico, instead of paying homage to the sugar mill horse, persecuting scientists and canceling Conacyt’s cooperation with private companies, not promoting it to manufacture, among others, the microprocessors that are needed in the production of cars? in North America?
It is by no means a coincidence that the summit is to be held a few days after the United States reopened its borders with Mexico and Canada for non-essential travel. And three days after the virtual meeting Biden-Xi Jinping.
It is in the interest of all three countries, for economic and domestic political reasons, to nurture the public perception that we are approaching a certain level of normalcy.
After the signing of NAFTA in 1993, Mexico, the United States and Canada are an economic and political bloc.
Belonging to that group forces you to think big, because it is for the benefit of the population.
You cannot agree on everything, but synchronicity is essential in the face of great opportunities and threats to the bloc and its substantive values.
That was broken with Trump, who saw Mexico as a nest of thugs who took jobs from Americans.
He therefore had an extraordinary tool in the hemispheric bloc with Canada and Mexico, and he did not understand it or he despised it.
The United States fell short, much to the delight of China.
The Asian giant was able to copy, interfere in the computer systems of the institutions of this country, intimidate its neighbors and expand its war, nuclear industry, with reserved forecasts.
It is already the main trading partner in South America, Africa and Asia.
Biden knows that the adversary is China, in a complex, mysterious and uncertain situation.
Uncertain, because where China is going only its leader, Xi Jinping, who has ruled since 2013 and will stay at least until 2027, knows.
The Defense Department, in a recent Pentagon report, predicts that by 2027 China will have 700 nuclear warheads, and 1,000 by the end of the decade.
A couple of years ago I only had 200, which is the same number from a long time ago. The United States has 3,700 nuclear warheads.
Why did Xi Jinping make China a nuclear power, while the control of the Communist Party stifles the changes and openings that were taking place gradually?
It is an enigma, but it is not an occurrence or a coincidence.
Tom Friedman quoted Nader Mouzavizadeh, founding director of geopolitical consultancy Macro Advisory Partners, in an article in The New York Times published in early September:
“There is no doubt that the best way for the United States to counter China is by doing what China hates the most: confronting it with a broad, transnational coalition, based on shared universal values, respecting the rule of law, free trade, human rights and the basic principles of transparency ”.
That’s what the trilateral summit on Thursday is all about. “Competitiveness” will be the noun that will be repeated over and over again. Also collaboration.
Competitiveness, so that the United States (or all of North America, if you will) can compete more effectively against China.
And there goes the fate of Mexico and its population.
There will also be bilateral meetings on Thursday. That of AMLO and Biden will be the most important, although it does not transcend the background content.
The agendas of the two governments are not only different, but in some key areas they are openly opposed.