The defeat of the PSOE and the parties to its left in the Andalusian elections has been a debacle that leaves the PP a free hand to, with an absolute majority, destroy education and public health, as in Madrid, which in Andalusia retain dignity (despite the deterioration that has begun for the socialist right-wing at the end of his 37 years of government and deepened in the last legislature, of PP and Cs). The fear of contagion in the general elections has led Pedro Sánchez and the federal PSOE to announce VAT reductions, to approve today an extraordinary anti-crisis plan in the Council of Ministers and to promise ideological rearmament, “empathy and more street”.
Nevertheless, insist on keeping the sunken project in Andalusia by John Swords. A lack of respect, a tease to which the Andalusian social left is not going to resign, no matter how much they trust that the passing of days and new news will lull the staff to sleep. And beware that a disappointed Andalusian leftism can cost La Moncloa because Andalusia elects 61 of the 350 deputies of Congress and now there are 25 from the PSOE and 15 from the PP, but what will happen in a year and a half?
The inconsistency of Swords when interpreting the causes of its debacle cannot be greater. Explain in each interview that he has only had seven months to present his project and team and by that he means that they lost two and a half years! that they should have taken advantage of to act as an alternative to the now almighty Moreno Bonilla, unraveling the daisy of whether to keep Susana Díaz as a leader or take her, as they finally did, to the Senate-cemetery of elephants (from where today she stirs to resurrect Susanism,! be amazed!Walking Dead!).
Well, precisely so as not to waste time again, to soon have in Andalusia one more left-wing and exciting socialist leader, capable of connecting, winning and governing, is why the PSOE must be, this time, diligent and not insist on Andalusians get used to it and put up with it.
The PSOE is still in the denial phase of the errors that have led to the Andalusian debacle and if it does not overcome it quickly it could cost it Moncloa.
The PSOE has to learn from its blunder of the last legislature and wake up. Because, if they don’t, they can start paying for it even in the municipal elections in the spring of 2023 (despite the weight that the pull of each mayor has in them), and it will bill them in the general elections within a year and a half, and four years will fly without them noticing as it happened with the previous four, and with Swords again in the posters and debates, in front of a Juanma who I doubt he will keep his promise not to show up to more than two mandates, the PSOE will give another bump. The sooner they start the desert crossing, the sooner they will get over it.
The PSOE foresaw the Andalusian defeat, not its magnitude
What does anyone gain by warning? What did the boy earn? The emperor’s new suit with exclaiming that the sovereign was naked? Experience indicates that they will not listen and each sincere warning will endear the critic to the one who makes it. But what the social left wants is for its political representation to be able to regain the government in the near future, and that is happening today, inexorably, due to the strengthening of the PSOE and all the parties to its left and, once this is achieved, by the pact between all of them.
An overwhelming obviousness that is buzzing in the streets of Andalusia is that the first step to winning is to want to do it and the PSOE did not want to. I was counting on this tactical defeat. Espadas himself confesses it in his interviews when he says that he knew that his project was “medium and long term”. He gave defeat for good. He and his inner circle, who have just abandoned their mentor Susana Díaz, thought that a slight defeat was worth it to avoid fat catharsis. That profound change for which other compañ[email protected], younger, more sanchistas, perhaps more leftists, would remove them from the limelight.
The PSOE was counting on this defeat in Andalusia. Swords admits it by saying that his project was for the medium term. But he believed that the PP would need Vox and that would wear him down. And it hasn’t happened.
They were wrong in not foreseeing the depth of the sinking. And, above all, imagining that the PP would have to agree with the fascist Vox of the deranged Olona and would suffer the consequent wear and tear. But that has not happened. Moreno Bonilla has erased the PSOE from the map even in towns like Utrera (Seville) where the PP does not even have councillors! and now he is going to govern with an absolute majority, with control of the budgets, of related media by conviction or because they want to finance themselves with institutional advertising or as manipulated as they manage to subdue RTVA-Canal Sur.
It’s going to be hard to dislodge the right wing from San Telmo even with the greatest talent and effort. The more so with the resignation of a Swordsman who declares: “If it’s nice to win, the most important thing is to know how to get up”. Well, nothing, to lose and get up, like a grouch, to infinity and beyond. Please, the consequences are tremendous!
A new project and a personality with leadership are needed
The PSOE, if it had wanted to win, here it is discussed in houses and squares, would have chosen a candidate with pull instead of a nondescript one. The name that the mouths repeat is that of María Jesús Montero. She would not have guaranteed victory, no one is fooled. Neither she nor she will guarantee it if, at last, the light breaks, the bases and sensible positions move (as the Sevillian Gómez de Celis seemed in the post-election Executive) and Montero assumes responsibility. The loss of credibility of socialism in Andalusia comes from afar and she was an adviser to the last governments. But her management at the head of Health and Finance continues to be valued as rigorous and effective and people appreciate in her infinitely more charisma and a deeper heartbeat of the left.
Not by chance, within the central government, Montero is one of the socialist ministers most in tune with those of United We Can. Something key to lubricate the necessary understanding with the parties to the left of the PSOE: For Andalusia and Forward, which have dropped from 17 seats to 5 and 2 by going separately.
Someone with a more progressive profile than Espadas would make it easier to overcome one of the great obstacles that Inma Nieto’s United We Can and Teresa Rodríguez’s Adelante collided with: the willingness to agree with the socialists that some defended and the other criticized (even overcoming this would remain the childish ego-struggle and get the sensible people of Adelante to prevent his vision of Andalusianism, with two deputiesbecomes an excuse to boycott an option for social advancement).
Recovering San Telmo and maintaining La Moncloa requires that the PSOE and the parties to its left grow and also that they agree among themselves, something that could facilitate a profile like that of María Jesús Montero.
It is astonishing that the option of María Jesús Montero replacing Espadas is not verbalized when there is talk on a national scale of renewing the government that was revamped only a year ago to, now, nominate the ministers Miquel Iceta (Barcelona) as mayors , Diana Morant (Valencia) and Carolina Darias (Las Palmas) and Pilar Alegría (Aragón) and Isabel Rodríguez (Castilla-La Mancha) as candidates for regional presidents.
To revitalize the Council of Ministers, the arrival of regional talents of socialism, anonymous at the moment, is also noted, who if they are as promising as ministers, perhaps they could also revive the illusion as a candidate for the Junta de Andalucía against the fused Swords, case that Montero refused in band to return to Andalusia.
Moreover, for the mayor’s office and Community of Madrid, the PSOE contemplates looking for candidates among prestigious progressives without a party card.
The options seem endless, except in Andalusia. The historical granary of votes of the PSOE and also of the United Left, both here now in free fall (The IU and the PCE thing is outrageous!), without which historically there would have been no governments of progress alternative to the PP in Spain. Engage in the “Don’t you want the ex-susanist Swords? Well, have two cups!” don’t strain, fed up. It will end in broken dishes. And we will all suffer again.