Correspondent in Paris
Seventy days short of the first round of the presidential election, 60 percent of the French have bad or very bad opinion of Emmanuel Macron, and 6 out of 10 French people consider their economic policy to be bad or very bad. “Is about a serious warning to the president, victim of a fairly high rejection rate, ”says Frédéric Dabi, CEO of Ifop, one of the main institutes for polling and sociological analysis, stressing that Macron’s re-election is up in the air.
There are other factors of concern for the outgoing president. Voters under 35 and on the left say they have a “good opinion” of Macron. Yet blue-collar workers, farmers, and traditional conservative voters say they’re “disappointed” or take a dim view of it.
Macron is still the candidate who has more voting intentions in the first round next April 10, with 24 percent; followed by Valerie Pécresse (right) and Marine Le Pen (far right), tied at 17 percent; Eric Zemmour (far right), 13 percent; Jean-Luc Melenchon (far left), 10 percent; Christiane Taubira (independent left), 6 percent; Yannick Jadot (environmentalist), 5 percent, and Anne Hidalgo (socialist), with 2 percent.
the great rival
This configuration of the vote in the first round leaves in suspense the result of the second round, on April 24. A majority of French people have bad or very bad opinion of Macron. And, an essential detail, its “reserve” of votes is very fragile: the bulk of conservative or very conservative, ultra-conservative voters, the majority nucleus of French society, lean towards Valerie Pécresse, the conservative candidate, who is making very popular proposals: abolish the inheritance tax, allow an increase in the consultations of doctors and other liberal professions.
Before the second round, Macron is quoted as a sure winner if his rival were Marine Le Pen; on the contrary, Valérie Pécresse is perceived as a fearsome rival with solid chances of choosing in the final lap. We will see.