The center-left opposition bloc has achieved a resounding victory in the legislative elections in Norway this Monday that allows the Labor Party to regain power eight years later and govern with its preferred formula.
With 88% scrutinized, the opposition has obtained more than 55% of the votes compared to just 40% of the right-wing bloc of the conservative prime minister, Erna Solberg, who ruled since 2013, confirming what the polls had announced for months.
Jonas Gahr Støre’s Labor Party has maintained its status as the most voted force, which it has held since 1924, but with 26.2% and 48 seats, slightly less than one percentage point compared to the previous elections in 2017 and one seat less , the worst result in eight decades.
The rise of the Centrist Party, the one that has grown the most in the elections, and the Socialist Left Party will allow Labor, however, to add a comfortable majority of 88 deputies, three more than necessary, with these formations and thus not depend on Rojo, an amalgam of communist and socialist forces, and Los Verdes.
Labor’s triumph also means that all of Scandinavia will be governed by social democratic forces, a common situation in the second half of the 20th century, but which has ceased to be so in the last two decades.
The right goes back more than eight points
The four forces that made up the Solberg government last legislature lost support, which translated into a joint setback of more than eight percentage points.
The Conservative Party has lost more than four points and 9 seats to stay at 20.4% and 36 seats, but it has remained the second with the most electoral support.
The xenophobic Progress Party, in government from 2013 to 2020, has lost its status as the third political force, falling to 11.7% (4.5 points less) and yielding six deputies to 21.
The Liberal Party has obtained an almost identical result, with 4.4% and 8 deputies, while the Christian Democratic Party would not exceed the minimum barrier of 4% and would lose five seats, although it would keep three due to its good result in some districts.
The Centrist Party, the one that rises the most
For second consecutive elections, the Centrist Party has grown in votes and has been the force that has risen the most, almost four points, to 13.6%, and has won nine seats to add 28.
More modest was the rise of the Socialist Left (SV), which has won one and a half points and two seats to stay at 7.5% and 13.
Rojo has doubled the percentage of votes (4.8%) and has gone from one to nine seats, but the comfortable majority of Labor, centrists and the SV points to less influence than expected.
The Greens have stayed on the edge of 4%, although they would achieve at least three deputies for the result in the districts.
Its exceptional result in the district of Alta (north) would allow the Foco en los Pacientes party to win a seat, a formation whose sole interest is to promote the construction of a new hospital emergency center in that area.
A campaign focused on climate issues
The polls have pointed for months to a change of government, with a solid advantage of the opposition, and the only question to settle seemed to be whether Gahr Støre could achieve an absolute majority with his allies or should he resort to Rojo and Los Verdes, a formula Not desired by himself or, above all, by the Centrist Party.
The Greens, for example, had assured in the campaign that they would not back any government that did not support curbing oil activity, a sensitive issue in a country that is the largest exporter of gas and oil in Western Europe.
Climate issues have occupied a prominent place in the electoral campaign, along with more classic welfare policy issues such as health or taxes, but the modest progress made by more environmentally-friendly forces may mean that the Government follows a less policy. ambitious in that field.