Monday, July 26

The fifth wave triggers infections: 30 large cities are already over 1,000 cases of incidence

Source: autonomous communities

* Information updated with the latest data available as of July 20.

The explosive rise in infections in the last month has triggered the incidence of COVID-19 throughout the country and takes many cities to levels not seen since the peak of the third wave, which broke out after the Christmas holidays. The increase in transmission, mainly among young people and other unvaccinated groups, stands out in thirty cities (31) where more than 1% of the population has been infected in the last 14 days.

Among the most extreme cases of this group above 1,000 incidence cases is the city of Burgos, where the rate reaches 2,183 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in 14 days. That is, more than 2% of the population has been infected in just two weeks. Similar situation found in large Catalan cities such as Barcelona (1,540 cases), Sant Cugat del Vall猫s (1,487), Castelldefels (1,432) and L’Hospitalet de Llobregat (1,405).

Indeed, Catalonia continues to be the main focus of the coronavirus in Spain and concentrates 22 of the 25 cities with the highest incidence in Spain. In this community, 70% of the population lives in municipalities with more than 1,000 incidence cases. These are some of the results extracted from the analysis carried out by elDiario.es based on data from the health ministries of 17 autonomous communities and the autonomous cities of Ceuta and Melilla. You can read more details about obtaining this data in the methodology.

The curve of the fifth wave has not yet reached a ceiling and continues to rise in practically the entire country. The rise in infections has been very fast in the last two weeks in Palencia, where the incidence has risen by 870% in two weeks, 脕vila (+ 598% in 14 days) or municipalities of Madrid such as Valdemoro (+ 764%) or Pozuelo de Alarc贸n (+ 560%).

Globally, confirmed COVID-19 cases only continue to decline in 185 municipalities where less than 2% of the Spanish population lives. On the other hand, they are increasing 馃搱 in 2,155 localities where 88% of the population lives and they are in the plateau phase (they remain more or less the same as two weeks ago) in 52, where 2% live. The rest are very small municipalities where very few cases are registered – less than 5 every two weeks – or for which there is no information available – representing 9% of the Spanish population.

The following graph shows the ranking of large municipalities (with more than 40,000 inhabitants) according to the number of confirmed cases in the last 14 days in relation to their population and also how the incidence has varied in the last two weeks compared to the previous two.



Heterogeneous data and absence of small municipalities

The map that opens this information shows the data of total confirmed COVID-19 cases, in 14 days and the trend of infections in each municipality of the autonomous communities that have published their contagion data in each locality: practically the entire territory to With the exception of the smaller municipalities of Castilla y Le贸n, Catalonia and Galicia, which do not break down the figures for the municipalities with fewer inhabitants.

The data for each municipality show the same variable: the number of people who have tested positive for coronavirus and for whom their place of residence has been identified. Most communities include the data of positives by PCR test, antigen test and some also add the cases confirmed by rapid antibody test. This medium, which has been collecting data by municipality since the end of March, calculates the trend of cases in each municipality by comparing the number of confirmed cases in the last two weeks with the infections detected in the previous two weeks.

It must be taken into account that the data of the communities are not always homogeneous among themselves due to the type of tests they include, the dates on which they update their figures or due to changes in the publication of the data in the same month. The update date of each community depends on each one of them: most keep their figures updated weekly but some are delayed when updating their figures.

In total, the figures collected add up to three million cases of coronavirus in which the municipality of residence of the infected person has been identified. Of the 17 autonomous regions analyzed, Madrid is the city with the most infected people detected in a single municipality. However, the municipalities with the highest incidence rate (cases per 100,000 inhabitants) are small localities in which an outbreak can affect a larger proportion of the population.

Many municipalities do not appear as there is no data available and some communities do not publish the total number of confirmed cases since the beginning of the epidemic. It should be borne in mind that the number of cases is closely related to the ability of health authorities to detect them. That is, the more tests or analyzes performed, the more cases detected. How many confirmed cases are there in each municipality and how is the current incidence in your locality? Check it out in the following table.



Several communities initially refused to publish data by municipality to avoid the social stigmatization of small municipalities with many infected. This is the case of the Autonomous Government of La Rioja, which initially was not going to publish data by locality and now publishes it for all municipalities.

The Balearic Islands initially refused to share their data, although in the end they published them. Extremadura, under the same criteria, initially only published 8 most populated municipalities in the region. Now it publishes the figures even by local entities, villages and districts. Castilla y Le贸n is only publishing its figures for municipalities with more than 1,000 inhabitants and Castilla-La Mancha those with more than 500 inhabitants. They are not the only cases, practically half of the regions refused to publish their figures, arguing that they wanted to avoid the stigmatization of specific municipalities. Today, they all publish their data on COVID-19 cases by municipality.

Galicia has been the last to publish the figures by municipality, which has added to its COVID-19 data portal almost 6 months since the start of the epidemic. The Galician community does not publish the figures of the municipalities that have registered between one and nine cases in the last 14 days. Now all the autonomies publish the figures broken down by locality on their transparency portals, open data web or official pages with the situation of COVID-19.

Precisely, these data are essential to combat an epidemic: they make it possible to detect sources of contagion and act accordingly, provide more information to local administrations and regional governments of neighboring communities, and facilitate the analysis of the impact of the epidemic.

This analysis makes it possible to verify in which areas there is a higher incidence rate based on variables such as average income, percentage of the population over 65 years of age or population density. Precisely, from all administrations hundreds of statistics are published broken down by municipality: population by age, country of birth, nationality, average income, data on registered unemployment, level of studies or mortality rates.

Countries such as Germany, the United Kingdom or the United States publish their data on confirmed cases at the district, local authority and county level, an administrative level similar to a municipality in Spain.



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