The advantage of the social democrat Olaf Scholz about conservative Armin Laschet it has been reduced by one percentage point, according to the latest survey published today. The Allensbach Demographic Institute grants the SPD 26% and the CDU 25%. Among the rest of the surveys, the widest gap is estimated at three points. “They are very happy, they look at the polls and they think they have already won, but in the next forty-eight hours a lot can still happen,” Laschet said, calling for the mobilization of the vote at his last rally, “talk to everyone, Explain to them what is going to happen here if a left-wing coalition is installed in the government. “We have a society based on values, the social market economy is not only an economic system, but a series of Christian values who consider the dignity of each person and the family as the fundamental social nucleus. We are not individualists or collectivists. And if we do not want to lose that we must go to vote with all our strength, “he warned. “They are against the European Treaties, NATO, the intelligence services,” he insisted, “just think about what will happen in Germany, think about the attacks we have suffered, what will become of us.”
“It is not the same who governs in Germany,” repeated Merkel. in the same act in Munich, trying to break the virtual tie and embracing the candidate Laschet, together with the president of Bavaria, Markus Söder, in an effort of credible unity only in its desperate aspect. The CDU and the CSU, the conservative families who are fighting from Berlin for influence in the party, have not even agreed on the strategy for the campaign closure. Laschet finally opted for a The end of the party in Bavaria, where he believed he could stage this emaciated unity with greater pomp. But in the Konrad Adenauer House several advisers lamented at the same time that Merkel, the most important figure in the campaign even if she does not appear in the elections, did not spend yesterday touring the eastern Bundesländer. “They are leaving that part of the country aside. The photo that the three of them have taken in Munich is that of the old Republic of Bonn and due to that mistake things happen like the recent regional result in Saxony-Anhalt, where the extreme right (Alternative for Germany AfD) won more than 20% for the second time, ”agreed Wolfgang Schroeder from the Center for Social Science Research in Berlin (WZB).
Söder, who during the campaign has launched repeated volleys of friendly fire on Laschet, also targeted the ex-communists and the former GDR vote. In a speech that lent itself to several readings, he recalled that “a government of social democrats and greens we already lived with Gerhard Schröder and the experiment left us five million unemployed and a debt out of control. With these words he subtly established a reference to the 2002 elections, very present on the other hand in the minds of all Bavarian Social Christians, since it was in those elections in which their candidate, Edmund Stoiber, lost against Schröder. The episode bears parallels with the current campaign because the Conservatives also seemed to enjoy a demographic advantage then that, as now, they lost as a result of floods. Schröder put on rubber boots, rolled up his sleeves and went to distribute aid to the victims in front of the cameras, as Scholz has done this summer, achieving a turnaround in the intention to vote.
Scholz, by the way, fired his campaign escorted by the president of the SPD, Saskia Esken, in Cologne, where he concentrated on refuting what he considers strengths of the conservative campaign, such as tax cuts. “Anyone in this situation who suggests that people who earn as much as I do, like a federal minister, urgently need a tax cut, they don’t understand finance at all,” he said, referring to the accumulated debt in the pandemic, “Debt can be reduced again in ten years, but tax cuts worth € 30 billion are totally out of date.” Scholz devoted the focus of his speech to social policy. He promised to guarantee the level of pensions, more salary for social professions such as geriatric nurses and a moratorium on rent prices until 400,000 more homes are built.
With Greta Thunberg on the streets of Berlin and German youth mobilized in demonstrations for climate protection, Scholz did not give a specific date for the abandonment of coal and he limited himself to betting on more green electricity and underlining that he has a better chance of forming a government coalition with environmentalists. “It may not be clear on Sunday who will be the next chancellor,” he acknowledged, “you become chancellor in Germany if you get a majority in the German Bundestag for your politics.” The head of the liberals of the FDP, Christian Lindner, declared yesterday in this regard that a “Jamaica coalition” with conservatives and greens, would be easier to achieve than a “traffic light coalition” with the SPD. “I prefer Jamaica if I can,” he said, anticipating the great role that small parties will play in negotiating the formation of the next government. “The options for a Jamaican coalition are now much better than in 2017,” FDP Secretary General Volker Wissing reiterated the offer. In 2017 they rose from Merkel’s negotiating table, but with Laschet and with the current internal balance of power in the CDU they hope to reach an agreement.