Saturday, April 1

The PP vote against the labor reform splits its electorate in two

PP voters are divided on the decision made by Pablo Casado to reject the labor reform, contrary to what the Government, the employers’ association and even FAES requested. Only three points separate those who support the ‘no’ to the royal decree from those who believe that their party should have supported it. Among the total of those surveyed, the norm raises a general approval and there is a censorship of the parties that positioned themselves against it.

Congress approves the labor reform by one vote after the turn of the UPN deputies and the error of one of the PP

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This is what emerges from the survey carried out by Simple Lógica for, and in which the respondents were asked about the positions taken by the different parties in the vote on February 3 in Congress, where the reform labor that repeals the previous one of the Government of Mariano Rajoy went ahead by a single vote.

In all cases, voters support the position taken by their parties. To a greater or lesser extent, they support their vote in the lower house, but in the case of the PP the distance that separates both positions is very small. 43.2% of PP voters believe that their party did the right thing by rejecting the labor reform; 40.1% responded, however, that they disapproved of this vote against.

Only three points separate both sensitivities within the popular electorate. The PP faced a strong debate about what position it should take before the rule, which repealed some aspects of the one approved by Rajoy but left others intact, such as the reduction in severance pay. Some territorial party leaders insisted that there were not many changes and suggested that the best position was abstention. The employers pressed for them to join the agreement and even FAEs endorsed the text.

Those internal and external tensions that the PP experienced for more than a month, and which finally led to the ‘no’ vote, have polarized its electorate to the point of almost equaling the supporters of the ‘yes’ and those of the ‘no’. His electorate is undoubtedly the most divided on this issue.

Support for their parties from the rest of the respondents

There are few fissures in the rest of the parties, such as the PSOE. 88.5% of those who put in the ballot for the Socialists in the general elections support the party’s position with the approval of the reform, and only 5.4% of their voters disapprove of their work. There are no fissures in his coalition partner either, but his electorate is less enthusiastic. The percentage of voters who support the reform drops to 77%, and rejection stands at 7.2%.

Vox also shows strong support from its electorate for its rejection of the norm. 81.4% of its voters believe that the party was right in positioning itself against the labor reform; only 8.8% reject it.

The only party that does not have such overwhelming percentages of support for its position is Ciudadanos. The formation directed by Inés Arrimadas promised from the beginning to facilitate the approval of the labor reform if a comma of the royal decree was not touched. The formation wanted to present itself as the ally of the PSOE in the face of the demands of its usual partners – also of United We Can – who, they said, would take the reform to more “radical” positions.

A part of his electorate has understood the movement, but that percentage does not reach 50%. Only 41.5% of its 2019 voters have seen the ‘yes’ with good eyes. By contrast, 17.5% believe that the party should not have facilitated the approval of the royal decree and question the strategy of Arrimadas’s party.

Widespread censorship of those who voted ‘no’

The survey carried out by Simple Lógica shows that the respondents, beyond their ideology, show a generalized rejection of the parties that opposed the labor reform on February 3. The one who gets the most criticism is the PP: 50.8% of those surveyed reject their position, compared to 12.3% who endorse it, data similar to those presented by Vox.

But not only the opposition sees how the respondents criticize its decision on the labor reform, also the usual allies of the Government, the so-called investiture bloc, see how the survey reveals a censorship of its rejection, which ranges from 32.9% of Bildu at 40.8% in the case of asking about CKD. The coalition Executive was negotiating with the Republicans until the last moment to attract their support, but they finally dropped the ball and voted against it.

UPN also sees how its position is criticized by voters. His two deputies pressed the ‘no’ vote, despite the fact that his party had reached an agreement with the PSOE to support the reform. 32.9% disapprove of what Sergio Sayas and Carlos García Adanero did; only 10.8% support it.

Among those who did support the reform, support for their decision is the majority, although it varies depending on which party is asked: from 44.3% of the PSOE to only 21.9% in the case of Más País.