Friday, December 3

Why Critics of the Electricity Reform Are Winning

In the week that ends today we saw versions come and go about to the discussion and approval dates of the electrical reform.

Last Wednesday November 3, after a meeting of parliamentary coordinators, it emerged that it was agreed that the legislative process of the electricity reform should conclude no later than next April 15.

But, later, the president of the Energy Commission of the Chamber of Deputies argued that in reality that was a deadline and that it did not imply that the discussion could not begin in the short term. And he also pointed out that it would be that the Chamber will vote in this same period ordinary session.

It was even suggested that, if it was not voted in December, an extraordinary meeting could be called to vote on the issue in January, in case there was no longer any margin in this period.

Then the coordinator of PRI legislators among the deputies, Rubén Moreira, indicated that the PRI would like the discussion to take place until after June elections of the next year.

Meanwhile, the coordinator of the Morena senators, Ricardo Monreal, saw with sympathy that the discussion took place with time.

They were? When will the debate on this constitutional reform begin?

You can be sure that before the end of the month, a discussion mechanism will be formalized in the Energy Commission of the deputies. But you can also be sure that, neither in this year nor in an extraordinary one in January, will the initiative be uploaded to the plenary session.

The reason is not even political, it is arithmetic.

Morena and his allies do not have enough votes to approve the constitutional reform in plenary session.

They do have them to approve the opinion of the law in the corresponding commissions, because there only a simple majority is required, but in the plenary session a qualified majority is needed, which they lack.

AND, they are not going to discuss an initiative in which they will most likely lose.

They have so far failed to attract the votes of the PRI, and it is even probable that they will lose some votes of the PVEM. So they wouldn’t get the 331 votes they need, no way.

The Morena legislators, however, know that it is a reform in which President López Obrador is highly interested, so they cannot simply tell him: “President, they do not give us the votes, we have to wait for the votes to change. political conditions of the country so that it can be approved ”.

The radical bases of Morena They also saw in the postponement of the vote a defeat and they were launched against the more moderate legislators and negotiators.

So in the Chamber they will have to play a double game: on the one hand, act as if they truly have the strength to approve it and at the same time try to negotiate under the table the changes that are required so that the PRI and the PVEM as a whole they could give it the go-ahead.

That double game that the morenistas must do it is what has caused confusion and this is going to continue to happen for a long time.

The meeting he held Ken Salazar, US ambassador, with the Secretary of the Treasury, Rogelio Ramírez de la O, to whom he expressed his serious concerns about the implications of the reform, nor did it help those who wanted to fast track the initiative.

The message is that America is not going to be silent before what they consider violations of the commercial treaty between the two countries.

On Friday, the coordinator of the deputies of Morena, Ignacio Mier, called on businessmen to participate in the discussions on the subject directly and not through those who he called “his representatives.”

And he had the bravado to say that, if they showed him that the reform was not favorable for Mexico, that he would leave his seat.

As they say over there, it would be good for Congressman Mier to be more serene because he could become unemployed. Not because he lost a debate, which he obviously will never admit, but because the disadvantages of this reform are so evident that it may never win the votes and disappoint President López Obrador.

For now, its broad and detailed discussion instead of a vote against the clock, is in itself a triumph for all of us who have criticized the proposal.

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